Amasheya ama-4 eMvelisi weNsimbi onokuwathenga kwiShishini elithembisayo

Ishishini labavelisi bentsimbi iZacks likulungele ukukhwela ekubuyeleni kwemfuno kwiimoto, imakethi enkulu, njengoko ingxaki ye-semiconductor iyancipha kancinci kancinci kwaye abenzi beemoto bonyusa imveliso. Utyalo-mali olukhulu lweziseko zophuhliso lukwabonisa kakuhle kwishishini lentsimbi laseMelika. Amaxabiso entsimbi nawo anokufumana inkxaso ekubuyiselweni kwemfuno kunye nokusetyenziswa kweziseko zophuhliso. Imarike yokwakha ezinzileyo engeyiyo eyokuhlala kunye nemfuno esempilweni kwindawo yamandla ikwamele iingxaki zoshishino. Abadlali abavela kwishishini abanjengoNucor Corporation NUE, Steel Dynamics, Inc. STLD, TimkenSteel Corporation TMST kunye neOlympic Steel, Inc. I-ZEUS ikwindawo entle yokuzuza kwezi ndlela.
Malunga noShishino
Ishishini labavelisi bentsimbi iZacks likhonza uluhlu olubanzi lwamashishini asetyenziswa kakhulu afana neemoto, ulwakhiwo, izixhobo, isikhongozeli, ukupakisha, oomatshini bemizi-mveliso, izixhobo zemigodi, uthutho, kunye neoyile negesi kunye neemveliso ezahlukeneyo zentsimbi. Ezi mveliso ziquka iikhoyili kunye namaphepha aqengqelekayo ashushu nabandayo, iikhoyili kunye namaphepha agqunywe ngobushushu nangamagalelo, iibhari zokuqinisa, iibhilethi kunye neentyatyambo, iintambo zentsimbi, iipleyiti zemibhobho, umbhobho oqhelekileyo kunye nomgca, kunye neemveliso zetyhubhu zoomatshini. Intsimbi iveliswa ikakhulu ngeendlela ezimbini - iBlast Furnace kunye neElectric Arc Furnace. Ithathwa njengomqolo weshishini lokuvelisa. Iimarike zeemoto kunye nokwakha bezisoloko zingabathengi abakhulu bentsimbi. Okuphawulekayo kukuba, icandelo lezindlu kunye nokwakha lelona lisebenzisa kakhulu intsimbi, limalunga nesiqingatha sexabiso lilonke lokusetyenziswa kwihlabathi liphela.
Yintoni Eyila Ikamva Leshishini Labavelisi Bentsimbi?
Amandla eMfuno kwiiMarike eziPhambili zokusetyenziswa: Abavelisi bentsimbi balindeleke ukuba bazuze ngokunyuka kwemfuno kwiimarike ezinkulu zokusetyenziswa kwentsimbi ezifana neemoto, ulwakhiwo kunye noomatshini ngenxa yokudodobala okubangelwa yi-coronavirus. Kulindeleke ukuba bazuze ekubhukishweni kwe-oda ephezulu kwimarike yeemoto ngo-2023. Imfuno yentsimbi kwiimoto kulindeleke ukuba iphucuke kulo nyaka ngenxa yokunqongophala kwehlabathi kwiitships ze-semiconductor ebezinzima kakhulu kwishishini leemoto phantse iminyaka emibini. Iimpahla eziphantsi zabathengisi kunye nemfuno edibeneyo kusenokwenzeka ukuba zizinto ezixhasayo. Imisebenzi ye-odolo kwimarike yokwakha engeyoyasekhaya nayo ihlala inamandla, igxininisa amandla angaphakathi kweli shishini. Imfuno kwicandelo lamandla ikwaphucuke ngenxa yokunyuka kwamaxabiso eoyile negesi. Iindlela ezilungileyo kwezi marike zihambelana kakuhle nomzi-mveliso wentsimbi. Ukuvuselelwa kweeMoto, ukuSetyenziswa kweZiseko zoNcedo lwaMaxabiso eNsimbi: Amaxabiso entsimbi abone ukulungiswa okubukhali kwihlabathi liphela ngo-2022 njengoko ingxabano phakathi kweRashiya neUkraine, iindleko zamandla ezinyukayo eYurophu, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso okuqhubekayo, ukunyuka kwenzala kunye nokuhla eTshayina ngenxa yokuvalwa kwe-COVID-19 kunciphisa imfuno yentsimbi kwiimarike eziphambili zokusetyenziswa. Okuphawulekayo kukuba, amaxabiso entsimbi yase-US ehlile emva kokunyuka ukuya kwi-$1,500 ngetoni emfutshane ngo-Epreli 2022 ngenxa yenkxalabo yokubonelela evela kwimfazwe yeRashiya ne-Ukraine. Amaxabiso e-benchmark hot-rolled coil (“HRC”) anyuke aya kufutshane ne-$600 ngetoni emfutshane ngoNovemba 2022. Ukwehla kwexabiso kubonisa imfuno ebuthathaka kunye noloyiko lokudodobala koqoqosho. Nangona kunjalo, amaxabiso afumene inkxaso ethile kwizenzo zokunyuka kwamaxabiso ze-US steel mills kunye nokubuya kwemfuno. Ukubuyela kwakhona kwimfuno yeemoto kulindeleke ukuba kunike ukunyuka kwamaxabiso entsimbi kulo nyaka. Iprojekthi enkulu yophuhliso lweziseko zophuhliso ikwanokuba negalelo elikhulu kushishino lwentsimbi lwaseMelika kunye namaxabiso e-US HRC ngo-2023. Inkcitho enkulu yeziseko zophuhliso zikarhulumente iya kuba nefuthe elihle kushishino lwentsimbi lwaseMelika, ngenxa yokunyuka okulindelekileyo kokusetyenziswa kwempahla. Ukuhla kwexabiso eTshayina yiMbango yokuXhalaba: Imfuno yentsimbi eTshayina, umthengi ophambili wempahla, ihlile ukusukela kwisiqingatha sesibini sowama-2021 ngenxa yokuhla kwexabiso kuqoqosho lwelizwe. Ukuvalelwa kwezinto ezintsha kuthathe umonakalo omkhulu kuqoqosho lwesibini ngobukhulu kwihlabathi. Ukuhla kwexabiso kwimisebenzi yokuvelisa kukhokelele ekuncipheni kwexabiso lentsimbi eTshayina. Icandelo lokuvelisa lithathe inyathelo njengoko ukuphinda kuvele intsholongwane kuye kwalimaza imfuno yeempahla ezenziweyo kunye neekhonkco zokubonelela. ITshayina ikwabone ukuhla kwexabiso kumacandelo okwakha kunye neepropathi. Icandelo lezindlu nezindlu lelizwe liye lachaphazeleka kakhulu kukuvalelwa kwezinto ngokuphindaphindiweyo. Utyalo-mali kwicandelo luye lwancipha lwaya kwinqanaba lalo eliphantsi kwiminyaka engamashumi amathathu. Ukuhla kwexabiso kula macandelo abalulekileyo asebenzisa intsimbi kulindeleke ukuba kuthintele imfuno yentsimbi kwixesha elifutshane.
Isikhundla seShishini likaZacks sibonakalisa amathuba amahle
Ishishini labavelisi bentsimbi iZacks liyinxalenye yeCandelo leZacks Basic Materials elibanzi. Liphethe iRank yeShishini iZacks #9, eliyibeka kwindawo ephezulu ye-4% yamashishini angaphezu kwama-250 eZacks. IRank yeShishini iZacks yeqela, eyi-avareji yeRank yeZacks kuzo zonke izitokhwe ezingamalungu, ibonisa amathuba aqaqambileyo kwixesha elizayo. Uphando lwethu lubonisa ukuba ama-50% aphezulu amashishini abekwe kwinqanaba leZacks adlula ama-50% asezantsi ngenani elingaphezulu kwe-2 ukuya kwi-1. Ngaphambi kokuba siveze izitokhwe ezimbalwa onokuthi ufune ukuziqwalasela kwipotifoliyo yakho, makhe sijonge ukusebenza kwemarike yesitokhwe yakutshanje kunye nomfanekiso woxabiso lweshishini.
Ishishini liphumelela ngakumbi kwiCandelo kunye ne-S&P 500
Ishishini labavelisi bentsimbi iZacks liphumelele kakhulu kwiZacks S&P 500 composite kunye necandelo leZacks Basic Materials elibanzi kunyaka ophelileyo. Eli shishini lizuze i-2.2% ngeli xesha xa lithelekiswa nokuhla kwe-S&P 500 nge-18% kunye nokuhla kwecandelo elibanzi nge-3.2%.
Ixabiso langoku leShishini
Ngokusekelwe kwixabiso leshishini elingaphantsi kweenyanga ezili-12 ukuya kwi-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA), eliyi-multiple esetyenziswa rhoqo ekuxabiseni amasheya esinyithi, eli shishini ngoku lirhweba kwi-3.89X, ngaphantsi kwe-11.75X ye-S&P 500 kunye ne-7.85X yecandelo. Kwiminyaka emihlanu edlulileyo, eli shishini lirhwebe phezulu ukuya kwi-11.52X, ngaphantsi kwe-2.48X kwaye kumyinge we-6.71X, njengoko itshathi engezantsi ibonisa.

 
Abavelisi bentsimbi aba-4 ekufuneka baqwalaselwe ngokusondeleyo
I-Nucor: I-Nucor eseCharlotte, eNC, ekwinqanaba le-Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), yenza iimveliso zentsimbi kunye nentsimbi kunye nezibonelelo zokusebenza eMelika, eKhanada naseMexico. Le nkampani ixhamla kumandla kwimarike yokwakha engeyoyasekhaya. Ikwabona iimeko eziphucukileyo kwimarike yezixhobo ezinzima, ezolimo kunye namandla avuselelekayo. I-Nucor kufuneka ifumane namathuba amaninzi kwimarike kutyalo-mali lwayo olucwangcisiweyo kwiiprojekthi zayo zokukhula ezibalulekileyo. I-NUE isazimisele ekunyuseni amandla emveliso, ekufuneka iqhube ukukhula kwaye iqinise isikhundla sayo njengomvelisi oxabisa kancinci. Ingeniso ye-Nucor yoyise i-Zacks Consensus Estimate kwiikota ezintathu kwezine ezidlulileyo. Inengeniso engalindelekanga yekota ezine emalunga ne-3.1%, ngokomyinge. I-Zacks Consensus Estimate yengeniso ka-2023 ye-NUE ihlaziywe nge-15.9% ukuya phezulu kwiintsuku ezingama-60 ezidlulileyo. Ungabona uluhlu olupheleleyo lwesitokhwe se-Zacks #1 Rank sanamhlanje apha.

 

I-Steel Dynamics: Ise-Indiana, i-Steel Dynamics yinkampani ephambili yabavelisi bentsimbi kunye noomatshini bokuphinda basebenzise iintsimbi e-United States, ikwinqanaba le-Zacks #1. Ixhamla kumandla amakhulu kwicandelo lokwakha elingengomakhaya eliqhutywa yimisebenzi yoku-odola abathengi esempilweni. I-Steel Dynamics okwangoku ikwaqhuba inani leeprojekthi ekufuneka zongeze amandla ayo kwaye zonyuse inzuzo. I-STLD inyusa imisebenzi kwi-Sinton Flat Roll Steel Mill yayo. Utyalo-mali olucwangcisiweyo kwi-mill entsha ye-aluminium engaphantsi kwekhabhoni esezantsi nayo iyaqhubeka nokukhula kwayo okucwangcisiweyo. Uqikelelo oluvunyiweyo lwengeniso ye-Steel Dynamics ka-2023 luhlaziywe ngama-36.3% ngaphezulu kwiintsuku ezingama-60 ezidlulileyo. I-STLD ikwadlule i-Zacks Consensus Estimate yengeniso kwikota nganye kwezine ezilandelanayo, umyinge uyi-6.2%.

 
I-Olympic Steel: I-Olympic Steel ese-Ohio, ephethe iZacks Rank #1, liziko leenkonzo zesinyithi eliphambili eligxile ekuthengisweni ngokuthe ngqo kunye nokusasazwa kwekhabhoni ecociweyo, iphepha eligoqwe nge-coil ne-stainless flat-rolled sheet, i-coil and plate steel, i-aluminium, i-tin plate, kunye neemveliso ezisebenzisa uphawu lwesinyithi. Ixhamla kwindawo yayo enamandla yokuthengiswa kwemali, amanyathelo okunciphisa iindleko zokusebenza, kunye namandla kwimibhobho yayo kunye neetyhubhu kunye neeshishini zesinyithi ezikhethekileyo. Ukuphucula imeko yemarike yemizi-mveliso kunye nokubuyela kwimfuno kulindeleke ukuba kuxhase ubungakanani bayo. Ibhalansi eqinileyo yenkampani ikwavumela ukuba ityale imali kumathuba okukhula aphezulu. I-Zacks Consensus Estimate ye-Olympic Steel yengeniso ka-2023 ihlaziywe nge-21.1% ngaphezulu kwiintsuku ezingama-60 ezidlulileyo. I-ZEUS ikwadlule i-Zacks Consensus Estimate kwisithathu kwezine ezilandelelanayo. Ngeli xesha, inikezele nge-avareji yengeniso engalindelekanga malunga ne-25.4%.

 
I-TimkenSteel: I-TimkenSteel ese-Ohio ibandakanyeka ekuveliseni intsimbi ye-alloy, kunye nentsimbi yekhabhoni kunye ne-micro-alloy. Le nkampani ixhamla kwimfuno ephezulu yemizi-mveliso kunye namandla kunye nemeko-bume yamaxabiso efanelekileyo, nangona kukho ukuphazamiseka kwe-semiconductor supply-chain echaphazela ukuthunyelwa kubathengi beeselfowuni. I-TMST ibona ukuphinda ibuyele kwimarike yayo yemizi-mveliso. Imfuno ephezulu yemarike yokugqibela kunye nezenzo zokunciphisa iindleko nazo ziyanceda ekusebenzeni kwayo. Ifumana inzuzo kwimizamo yayo yokuphucula ulwakhiwo lwayo lweendleko kunye nokusebenza kakuhle kwemveliso. I-TimkenSteel, ephethe iZacks Rank #2 (Thenga), inezinga lokukhula kwengeniso elilindelekileyo le-28.9% ngo-2023. Uqikelelo oluvunyiweyo lwengeniso ka-2023 luhlaziywe nge-97% ukuya phezulu kwiintsuku ezingama-60 ezidlulileyo.
Ngaba ufuna iingcebiso zamva nje ezivela kwiZacks Investment Research? Namhlanje, ungakhuphela iiStocks eziBalaseleyo ezisi-7 kwiintsuku ezingama-30 ezizayo. Cofa ukuze ufumane le ngxelo yasimahla
I-Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD): Ingxelo yoHlalutyo lweSitokhwe sasimahla
I-Nucor Corporation (NUE): Ingxelo yoHlalutyo lweSitokhwe sasimahla
I-Olympic Steel, Inc. (ZEUS): Ingxelo yoHlalutyo lweSitokhwe sasimahla
I-Timken Steel Corporation (TMST): Ingxelo yoHlalutyo lweSitokhwe sasimahla
Ukuze ufunde eli nqaku kwiZacks.com cofa apha.
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Ixesha lokuthumela: Februwari-22-2023