Amaxabiso e-nickel aqale inyanga ephezulu, ephula amaxabiso aphezulu angaphambili abonwa ngamaxesha amafutshane afana neetshathi zeyure nezemihla ngemihla. Okokugqibela, amaxabiso abuyele kwi-bullish zone eyakheka ngaphambi kokuba i-LME ivalwe ngoMatshi. Eli nyathelo lexabiso libonisa ukuba i-nickel inamandla okunyukela phezulu ukuba amaxabiso ayaqhubeka nokunyuka. Nangona kunjalo, ngokubanzi, amaxabiso ahlala kuluhlu lokurhweba lwexesha eliphakathi ukuya kwixesha elide. Abatyali-mali kuya kufuneka baphule oku ukuze baseke umkhwa omtsha wexesha elide.
Izitokhwe zentsimbi engagqwaliyo zinyukile kungekuphela nje kumaziko eenkonzo, kodwa nakwamanye abavelisi kunye nabasebenzisi bokugqibela. Enyanisweni, imithombo ixelele iMetalMiner ukuba isitokhwe esiphakathi sempahla kwiindawo zeenkonzo siphakathi kweenyanga ezintathu nezine. Okona kulungileyo kukuba iziko leenkonzo kufuneka libe nobonelelo lweenyanga ezimbini kuphela. IMetalMiner ikwafumene ulwazi lokuba abanye abasebenzisi bokugqibela banesitokhwe esingaphezulu kweenyanga ezilithoba kumgangatho wabo. Ngokucacileyo, ukufumaneka kwezitokhwe ezinjalo kubasebenzisi bokugqibela kunye nabavelisi kuya kuchaphazela unikezelo oluya kumaziko eenkonzo.
Ngowama-2022, imveliso yentsimbi engagqwaliyo yase-US iyaqhubeka nokuthintelwa kukwabiwa okungqongqo kwee-alloys, ububanzi kunye nobukhulu obulawulwa ngabavelisi. Ngoko ke ukuze kuphuculwe imveliso, iNorth American Stainless kunye ne-Outokumpu zigxile kwimizamo yazo ekuveliseni i-304/304L esemgangathweni, kunye ne-316L ethile. Uninzi lungama-intshi angama-48 ububanzi okanye bukhulu kunye ne-intshi ezingama-0.035 ubukhulu. Ububanzi, ubunzima obulula kunye nezongezo ze-alloy ziqala ukunciphisa iimfuno kwiimveliso zombane. Ukongeza, abanye abathengi bentsimbi engagqwali nabo bagcina ukubheja kwabo ngokuphindaphinda imfuno ngo-2022, kwaye ukuphazamiseka kokunikezelwa kulindeleke ukuba kuqhubeke.
Okwangoku, ukungeniswa kwentsimbi engagqwaliyo ebandayo kuqhubekile nokunyuka kulo lonke u-2022, kwafikelela kwincopho ngo-Epreli-Juni. Oku kuncede ekunciphiseni ukunqongophala kobonelelo e-US, apho ukungeniswa kwempahla kuqalile ukwehla njengoko uluhlu lwezinto ezikwiziko leenkonzo lunyukile. Nangona amaxabiso aphezulu kakhulu okungeniswa kwempahla, iziko leenkonzo laqala ukwehla ngokukhawuleza. Iimpahla ezingenisiweyo azifiki kwinyanga enye ye-odolo. Ngenxa yoku, ukungeniswa kwentsimbi engagqwaliyo ebandayo kuyaqhubeka nokuvela (nangona kuncinci kakhulu).
Abavelisi abaninzi ababethengwe kakhulu ukuze baphephe ukucima kombane ngoku baxakeke kakhulu. Zonke iimithombo zabo sele zihambise ubungakanani obuvunyelwene ngabo, kwaye inkampani ayinakukhetha ngaphandle kokulinda. Ngethamsanqa, amashishini athenga iimpahla ezigqithisileyo kubasebenzisi bokugqibela anokunciphisa umngcipheko wempahla esetyenzisiweyo kwaye akhulule imali ethile. Iziko lenkonzo aliyi kuthenga kwakhona impahla egqithisileyo ngeli xesha. Nangona kunjalo, kukho ezinye iinkampani ze-B2B ezidibanisa ngokukodwa abathengisi nabathengi kule meko.
Eminye imithombo kwiMetalMiner icebisa ukuba umba wokwanda kwezitokhwe kumaziko eenkonzo ungasonjululwa kwasekuqaleni kowama-2022 kwaye kungadlulanga ikota yokuqala ka-2023. Nangona kunjalo, kubalulekile ukuqwalasela ukwehla kwexabiso kwezi zigcini njengoko u-2022 usondela. Umzekelo, iintlawulo ezongezelelweyo kwi-alloys ezingama-304 ziqhubekile nokwehla ukusuka kwincopho yazo ngoMeyi. Intlawulo eyongezelelweyo kaSeptemba 304 nayo yayiyi-$1.2266 ngepawundi, yehle nge-$0.6765 ngepawundi ukusuka ngoMeyi.
Hlola imodeli yexabiso lentsimbi engagqwaliyo yeMetalMiner ngokucwangcisa idemo yeqonga le-Insights.
Amazwe aseNtshona angachaphazelekanga zizohlwayo ayaqhubeka nokungenisa i-nickel yaseRashiya. Enyanisweni, ukuthunyelwa kwayo kuye kwanda ukususela ngoMatshi. IRashiya ibandakanya malunga ne-7% yemveliso ye-nickel yehlabathi, kwaye inkampani yayo enkulu, iNorilsk Nickel, ivelisa malunga ne-15-20% ye-nickel yebhetri yehlabathi.
I-US ibone ukwanda okukhulu. Ukungeniswa kwe-nickel evela eRashiya ukuya e-US kunyuke ngama-70% ukusuka ngoMatshi ukuya kuJuni, ngokutsho kwedathabheyisi ye-UN Comtrade eqokelelwe yiReuters. Okwangoku, ukungeniswa kwe-nickel kwi-EU kunyuke ngama-22% kwixesha elifanayo.
Ukwanda kwezinto ezivela eRashiya kubonisa izinto ezimbini. Okokuqala, amaxabiso aphantsi asenokuba enze i-nickel yaseRashiya yaba nomtsalane ngakumbi, njengoko onke amanye amaxabiso enyuka emva kokuhlasela kwe-Ukraine. Okwesibini, kuthetha ukuba uloyiko lokuphazamiseka kobonelelo olubangele ukunyuka okukhulu kwamaxabiso eentsimbi ezisisiseko ekuqaleni kukaMatshi lwabonakala lugqithisile.
Hlala usesikhathini ngezinto ezenzekayo kwiMetalMiner nakwishishini lentsimbi engagqwaliyo ngohlaziyo lweveki nganye – akukho mfuneko yokuthumela iimeyile ezongezelelweyo. Bhalisela iphephandaba leveki leMetalMiner.
Ngokuqala kwexesha lesivumelwano sika-2023, abavelisi baseNtshona basenokuqala ukwala izinto ezivela eRashiya.
Ngokutsho kukaPaul Wharton, isekela-mongameli elilawulayo leemveliso ze-aluminium ezikhutshiweyo eNorsk Hydro, “ngokuqinisekileyo asiyi kuthenga eRashiya ngo-2023.” Enyanisweni, iintetho zokuqala neNorilsk Nickel zibonisa ukuba abathengi baseYurophu bajonge ukunciphisa ukuthengwa phantse kuyo yonke indawo.
Olu tshintsho kubonelelo lunokuhambisa izinto ngesaphulelo kwiinkampani namazwe asazimisele ukuzithenga zivela eRashiya. “Andazi ukuba ezi zinto ziya phi ngoku – zinokuya eAsia, eTshayina, eTurkey nakwezinye iindawo ezingakhange zithathe cala kwizinto zaseRashiya,” wongeze watsho uWharton.
Oku kunokubangela ukuba kubekho iintlawulo ezingaphezulu kwizixhobo ezifunyenwe kwezinye iindawo. Kakade ke, ayizizo zonke iinkampani eziya kuba ngqongqo kangaka kwizinto zaseRashiya. Kwaye ekubeni oku kungavumi ukuthengiswa kwezixhobo kukuzithandela, akuyi kunyanzela i-nickel yaseRashiya ukuba iphume kwimarike yehlabathi.
Uqikelelo lonyaka lweMetalMiner lowama-2023 luphuma kule veki! Ingxelo iqinisekisa umbono wethu weenyanga ezili-12 kwaye inika iinkampani ezithengayo umbono opheleleyo wezinto ezisisiseko eziqhuba amaxabiso, kunye noqikelelo oluneenkcukacha olunokusetyenziswa xa kukhangelwa izinyithi ukuya kuthi ga kunyaka ka-2023, kubandakanya amaxabiso aphakathi alindelekileyo, inkxaso kunye namanqanaba okuxhathisa.
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