Tus nqi nickel pib lub hli siab dua, tawg cov qib siab yav dhau los pom ntawm lub sijhawm luv dua xws li cov ntawv qhia txhua teev thiab txhua hnub. Thaum kawg, cov nqi rov qab los ntawm thaj chaw bullish uas tsim ua ntej LME kaw hauv lub Peb Hlis. Qhov kev nqis tes ua tus nqi no qhia tau tias nickel muaj peev xwm tig siab dua yog tias tus nqi txuas ntxiv nce. Txawm li cas los xij, tag nrho, tus nqi tseem nyob hauv nruab nrab mus rau lub sijhawm ntev. Cov tub ua lag luam yuav tsum tawg qhov no kom tsim tau qhov sib txawv tshiab mus sij hawm ntev.
Cov khoom ntawm cov hlau tsis xeb tiaj tiaj tsis yog tsuas yog nce ntxiv hauv cov chaw pabcuam xwb, tab sis kuj tseem muaj nyob rau hauv qee lub tuam txhab tsim khoom thiab cov neeg siv kawg. Qhov tseeb, cov peev txheej tau hais rau MetalMiner tias cov khoom nruab nrab ntawm cov chaw pabcuam yog ntawm peb thiab plaub lub hlis. Qhov zoo tshaj plaws, lub chaw pabcuam yuav tsum muaj cov khoom siv tsuas yog ob lub hlis xwb. MetalMiner kuj tau txais cov ntaub ntawv tias qee tus neeg siv kawg muaj ntau tshaj cuaj lub hlis ntawm cov khoom siv hauv lawv cov plag tsev. Nws yog qhov tseeb tias qhov muaj cov khoom siv no los ntawm cov neeg siv kawg thiab cov tuam txhab tsim khoom yuav cuam tshuam rau kev muab khoom rau cov chaw pabcuam.
Xyoo 2022, kev tsim cov hlau stainless tiaj tiaj hauv Tebchaws Meskas tseem raug txwv los ntawm kev faib cov hlau sib xyaw, qhov dav thiab qhov tuab uas cov chaw tsim khoom tau hais. Yog li ntawd, txhawm rau kom ua tau zoo tshaj plaws, North American Stainless thiab Outokumpu tau tsom lawv cov kev siv zog los tsim cov qauv 304/304L, nrog rau qee qhov 316L. Feem ntau yog 48 nti dav lossis loj dua thiab 0.035 nti tuab. Qhov dav, qhov hnyav sib dua thiab cov khoom siv sib xyaw ua ke pib txo qhov kev thov ntawm cov khoom tsim hluav taws xob. Tsis tas li ntawd, qee tus neeg yuav khoom stainless hlau kuj tseem tab tom tiv thaiv lawv cov kev twv txiaj los ntawm kev hloov tus nqi ntawm kev thov hauv xyoo 2022, thiab kev cuam tshuam kev muab khoom yuav txuas ntxiv mus.
Lub caij no, kev xa khoom ntawm cov hlau tsis xeb uas dov txias tau txuas ntxiv nce thoob plaws xyoo 2022, nce mus txog qhov siab tshaj plaws thaum lub Plaub Hlis-Lub Rau Hli. Qhov no tau pab them rau qhov tsis txaus ntawm kev xa khoom hauv Tebchaws Meskas, qhov chaw uas kev xa khoom tau pib poob qis vim tias cov khoom muag ntawm cov chaw pabcuam tau nce siab. Txawm hais tias tus nqi txo nqi xa khoom siab heev, cov chaw pabcuam tau pib thim rov qab sai sai. Cov khoom xa tuaj tsis tas yuav tuaj txog hauv tib lub hlis ntawm qhov kev txiav txim. Vim li no, kev xa khoom ntawm cov hlau tsis xeb uas dov txias tseem tshwm sim (txawm hais tias muaj ntau me dua).
Muaj ntau lub chaw tsim khoom uas tau yuav ntau dhau kom tsis txhob muaj teeb meem hluav taws xob tam sim no raug kev txom nyem heev. Tag nrho lawv cov peev txheej twb tau xa cov khoom raws li tau pom zoo lawm, thiab lub tuam txhab tsis muaj kev xaiv tab sis yuav tsum tos. Hmoov zoo, cov lag luam uas yuav cov khoom ntau dhau los ntawm cov neeg siv kawg tuaj yeem txo qhov kev pheej hmoo ntawm cov khoom muag ntawm cov neeg siv kawg thiab tso qee cov nyiaj ntsuab. Lub chaw pabcuam yuav tsis yuav cov khoom muag ntau dhau rov qab rau lub sijhawm no. Txawm li cas los xij, muaj qee lub tuam txhab B2B uas txuas cov neeg muag khoom rau cov neeg yuav khoom hauv qhov xwm txheej no.
Qee qhov chaw hauv MetalMiner qhia tias qhov teeb meem ntawm kev nce cov khoom hauv cov chaw pabcuam tuaj yeem daws tau thaum ntxov li thaum kawg ntawm xyoo 2022 thiab tsis pub dhau peb lub hlis thawj zaug ntawm xyoo 2023. Txawm li cas los xij, nws tseem ceeb heev uas yuav tsum xav txog qhov kev poob qis ntawm cov peev txheej no thaum xyoo 2022 los txog. Piv txwv li, cov nqi ntxiv rau 304 alloys tau txuas ntxiv poob qis los ntawm lawv qhov siab tshaj plaws hauv lub Tsib Hlis. Lub Cuaj Hli 304 surcharge kuj yog $ 1.2266 ib phaus, poob $ 0.6765 ib phaus los ntawm lub Tsib Hlis.
Tshawb nrhiav tus qauv nqi ntawm cov hlau tsis xeb ntawm MetalMiner los ntawm kev teem sijhawm rau Insights platform demo.
Cov teb chaws sab hnub poob uas tsis raug kev rau txim tseem txuas ntxiv xa cov nickel Lavxias tuaj. Qhov tseeb, kev xa khoom tau nce ntxiv txij li lub Peb Hlis. Lavxias suav txog li 7% ntawm kev tsim nickel thoob ntiaj teb, thiab nws lub tuam txhab loj tshaj plaws, Norilsk Nickel, tsim txog li 15-20% ntawm lub ntiaj teb cov roj teeb nickel.
Tebchaws Meskas tau pom qhov nce siab tshaj plaws. Cov khoom xa tuaj ntawm Nickel los ntawm Lavxias mus rau Tebchaws Meskas tau dhia 70% txij lub Peb Hlis mus txog rau Lub Rau Hli, raws li UN Comtrade database uas Reuters tau sau ua ke. Lub caij no, cov khoom xa tuaj rau EU tau nce 22% dhau lub sijhawm tib yam.
Qhov kev nce ntxiv ntawm cov khoom siv los ntawm Lavxias qhia txog ob yam. Ua ntej, tus nqi qis dua tej zaum yuav ua rau Lavxias nickel nyiam dua, vim tias txhua tus nqi lwm tus tau nce tom qab kev tawm tsam ntawm Ukraine. Qhov thib ob, nws txhais tau tias kev ntshai ntawm kev cuam tshuam kev muab khoom uas ua rau tus nqi rau cov hlau hauv paus nce siab thaum ntxov Lub Peb Hlis tau hloov mus ua qhov ua kom dhau lawm.
Khaws cov xov xwm tshiab txog qhov xwm txheej hauv MetalMiner thiab kev lag luam hlau tsis xeb nrog cov xov xwm tshiab txhua lub lim tiam - tsis tas yuav xa ntawv ntxiv. Sau npe rau MetalMiner tsab ntawv xov xwm txhua lub lim tiam.
Thaum pib lub caij cog lus xyoo 2023, cov chaw tsim khoom sab hnub poob yuav pib tsis kam muab khoom los ntawm Russia.
Raws li Paul Wharton, tus lwm thawj coj ntawm Norsk Hydro cov khoom lag luam txhuas extruded, "peb yuav tsis yuav los ntawm Russia hauv xyoo 2023." Qhov tseeb, thawj qhov kev sib tham nrog Norilsk Nickel qhia tau tias cov neeg yuav khoom European tab tom nrhiav kom txo qhov kev yuav khoom yuav luag txhua qhov chaw.
Cov kev hloov pauv no hauv kev muab khoom tuaj yeem tsiv cov khoom siv ntawm tus nqi qis dua mus rau cov tuam txhab thiab cov tebchaws uas tseem txaus siab xa khoom los ntawm Lavxias. "Kuv tsis paub tias cov khoom siv mus qhov twg tam sim no - lawv tuaj yeem mus rau Asia, Tuam Tshoj, Qaib ntxhw thiab lwm thaj chaw uas tsis tau ua raws li cov ntaub ntawv Lavxias," Wharton ntxiv.
Qhov no yuav ua rau muaj cov nqi ntxiv rau cov khoom siv tau los ntawm lwm qhov chaw. Tau kawg, tsis yog txhua lub tuam txhab yuav ua siab tawv rau cov khoom siv Lavxias. Thiab vim tias qhov kev tsis kam lees no yog kev yeem ua, nws yuav tsis yuam kom Lavxias nickel tawm ntawm kev ua lag luam thoob ntiaj teb.
Daim ntawv qhia txog kev kwv yees txhua xyoo ntawm MetalMiner rau xyoo 2023 yuav tawm lub lim tiam no! Daim ntawv tshaj tawm no lees paub peb qhov kev kwv yees rau 12 lub hlis thiab muab rau cov tuam txhab yuav khoom nrog kev pom dav dav ntawm cov yam tseem ceeb uas tsav tus nqi, nrog rau kev kwv yees ntxaws ntxaws uas tuaj yeem siv thaum nrhiav cov hlau txog xyoo 2023, suav nrog tus nqi nruab nrab uas xav tau, kev txhawb nqa thiab qib kev tiv thaiv.
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MetalMiner pab cov koom haum yuav khoom tswj hwm cov nyiaj tau zoo dua, txo qhov kev hloov pauv ntawm cov khoom lag luam, txo cov nqi, thiab sib tham txog cov nqi rau cov khoom siv hlau. Lub tuam txhab ua qhov no los ntawm kev siv lub lens tshwj xeeb los kwv yees siv kev txawj ntse (AI), kev tshuaj xyuas kev siv tshuab (TA) thiab kev paub tob txog thaj chaw.
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