Bishii la soo dhaafay, MetalMiner waxay soo saartay bayaankan soo socda: "MetalMiner waxay aaminsan tahay in saameynta ay ku leedahay hay'adda iibsashada birta ee Grain Oriented Electric aysan si buuxda uga tarjumi doonin saameynta ballaaran ee canshuuraha ee foomamka birta ee sida caadiga ah loo isticmaalo, alloys iyo darajooyinka."
Mar walba si sax ah uma helno, laakiin dhab ahaantii qiimaha GOES M3 ayaa hoos u dhacay bishii la soo dhaafay marka loo eego kororka qiimaha guud ee dhammaan ama ku dhawaad ​​dhammaan qaybaha kale ee alaabada duuban ee kaarboonka.
Dhanka kale, iyadoo MetalMiner ay ka warqabto hal hay'ad wax iibsi ah oo soo gudbisay codsi ka saarid iyada oo loo marayo nidaamka ka saarida ee dhawaan lagu dhawaaqay, ma jirto shirkad dalbatay (ugu yaraan Abriil 11) Tani way isbedeli doontaa marka soo dejinta GOES ay sii socoto.
Baaritaan degdeg ah ayaa muujinaya in baaritaanka 301 uu sidoo kale ku jiro biraha korantada ee ku jihaysan hadhuudhka oo leh koodhadhka HTS: 72261110, 72261190, 72261910 iyo 72261990 - asal ahaan " Biraha korantada ee Silicon alloyed ee ballacyada kala duwan (hadhka ku jihaysan)".
Si kastaba ha ahaatee, baaritaanka Qaybta 301 kuma jiraan qaybaha isbeddelka (8504.90.9546) ama nabarrada nabarrada (8504.90.9542), labaduba waxay geli karaan Maraykanka iyadoo lagu saleynayo daaweynta suuqa ee hadda.
MetalMiner waxay cusboonaysiin doontaa akhristayaasha marka/haddii Madaxweyne Trump uu ku dhawaaqo ku saabsan baaritaanka Qaybta 301.
Qiimaha gariiradda birta korantada ee Mareykanka (GOES) ayaa hoos u dhacay ilaa $2,595/t bishaan halka uu ka ahaa $2,637/t. MMI ayaa hoos u dhacday 3 dhibcood ilaa 188.
GOES MMI® waxay ururisaa oo cabbirtaa 1 heer caalami ah oo ku jihaysan hadhuudhka qiimaha birta korantada si ay u bixiso aragti gaar ah oo ku saabsan isbeddellada qiimaha 30-maalmood. Macluumaad dheeraad ah oo ku saabsan GOES MMI®, sida loo xisaabiyo, ama sida shirkaddaadu u isticmaasho tusmada, noogu soo rid khadka macluumaadka (at) agmetalminer (dot) com.
MMI-da bilaa-wareerka ah (tusmada biraha bilaha ah) ayaa kor u kacay 1 dhibic bishii Abriil. Akhrinta hadda waa 76 dhibcood.
Sare u kaca ku yimid kharashka birta ah ee birta ah ayaa kor u qaaday tusmada in kasta oo hoos u dhac yar uu ku yimid qiimaha nikelka LME bishan.
Si kastaba ha ahaatee, hoos u dhacu uma muuqdo mid la yaab leh sida aluminium ama naxaasta.
Qiimaha nickelka ee LME ayaa weli ah mid sarreeya, oo aad uga fog hoos u dhaca 2017 ee la arkay May ama June, markii MetalMiner ay kula talisay kooxaha iibsashada inay iibsadaan xoogaa mugga hore ah. Qiimaha wuxuu ahaa qiyaastii $8,800/t wakhtigaas, marka la barbardhigo heerka qiimaha hadda ee $13,200/t.
Ka dib soo kabashada tamarta kinetic-ka birta-la'aanta ah, kharashka dheeraadka ah ee birta ah ee gudaha ayaa kordhay bishan.
316/316L gariiradda NAS ee dheeraadka ah ilaa $0.96/lb. Sidaa darteed, iibsashada ururada waxaa laga yaabaa inay rabaan inay eegaan kharashyada dheeraadka ah si ay u aqoonsadaan fursadaha lagu dhimayo khatarta qiimaha iyada oo loo marayo iibsi hore ama xayndaab.
Si kastaba ha ahaatee, laga bilaabo 2017, kharashka dheeraadka ah ayaa kordhay.316/316L gariiradda NAS ee dheeraadka ah waxay ku dhowdahay $0.96/lb.
Iyada oo birta iyo nikkel ay wali ku jiraan suuqa dibida, kooxaha wax gadanaya waxa laga yaabaa inay rabaan inay isha ku hayaan suuqa fursadaha ay ku iibsan karaan maquufinta.
Si aad u barato sida loola qabsado istiraatijiyaddaada wax iibsiga bil kasta baahiyahaaga gaarka ah, isku day aragtidayada bilaha ah ee bilaashka ah maanta.
Shiineeska 304 qiimaha gariiradda aan wanaagsanayn ayaa kor u kacay 1.48%, halka Shiinuhu 316 qiimahoodu hoos u dhacay 0.67%.
MMI birta ceeriin (tusaale birta bilaha ah) ayaa hoos u dhacay 4 dhibcood bishan ilaa 88. In kasta oo hoos u dhaca ku yimid MMI birta ceeriin, qiimaha birta gudaha ayaa hoos u dhacay bishii March oo dhan.
Qiimaha birta gudaha ayaa kor u kacay, iyadoo qiimaha HRC ee gudaha uu ka kacay $600-$650/st ilaa ku dhawaad ​​$850 saddexdii bilood ee la soo dhaafay.
Kor u kaca qiimaha birta ayaa ah natiijada arrimo badan.Marka hore, isbeddelka muddada dheer ee bilaabmay 2016 wuxuu horseeday qiimaha birta oo sarreeya. Marka labaad, dib u dhaca warshadaha birta ee wareegga (xilliyeedka) ayaa kor u kaca qiimaha birta.
Taariikh ahaan, qiimaha ayaa sida caadiga ah kor u kacay rubuci afaraad iyadoo shirkado badan ay dib uga wada xaajoonayaan heshiisyadooda sanadlaha ah inta lagu jiro xilliga miisaaniyada sanadka soo socda. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, kor u kaca qiimaha birta ee sanadkan ma dhicin ilaa wakhti dambe. Qiimaha ayaa u muuqda in ay sugayaan natiijada Qaybta 232 (iyo canshuuraha u dhigma), kaas oo taageeraya qiimaha birta gudaha.
Si kastaba ha ahaatee, qiimaha birta gudaha ayaa u muuqda inuu ku dhow yahay dhamaadka qiimaha ugu dambeeyay ee qiimaha. Iyadoo lagu saleynayo wareegyada qiimaha birta ee taariikhiga ah, qiimaha birta ee Shiinaha oo hooseeya iyo qiimaha alaabta ceeriin ee hooseeya, qiimaha birta gudaha waxay u badan tahay inay hoos u dhacdo bilaha soo socda.
Qiimaha birta ee Shiinaha iyo qiimaha birta ee Maraykanka ayaa inta badan la kala iibsadaa. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, isbeddellada muddada gaaban mararka qaarkood way kala duwan yihiin.
Isbeddellada muddada-gaaban waxaa sababi kara hubanti la'aanta maxalliga ah ama khalkhal degdeg ah oo ku yimaada saadka maxalliga ah. Laakiin isbeddelladan muddada-gaaban waxay u muuqdaan inay saxaan oo ku noqdaan qaabkoodii taariikheed.
Isbarbardhigga sicirka Shiinaha iyo US HRC, kala duwanaanshaha qiimaha la arkay bishaan maaha mid la yaab leh.
Qiimaha HRC ee Maraykanka ayaa cirka isku shareeray, halka qiimaha HRC ee Shiinaha uu hoos u sii socday.
Wax soo saarka birta ee Shiinaha ayaa sii socota.Magaalada Handan ayaa amar ku bixisay in miraha ay gooyaan wax soo saarka birta qiyaastii 25% si ay u sii wadaan fulinta tallaabooyinka xakamaynta wasakheynta
Sida laga soo xigtay faafinta rasmiga ah ee dowladda Mexico, wasaaradda dhaqaalaha Mexico ayaa si rasmi ah u soo rogtay canshuuraha ka hortagga tuubooyinka birta kaarboon ee laga keeno Kuuriyada Koonfureed, Spain, India iyo Ukraine.
Dhaqdhaqaaqa alaabta ceeriin waxay u muuqataa inay hoos u dhacday ka dib markii qiimaha alaabta ceeriin ay kordheen ka hor dhamaadka 2017.
Qiimaha macdanta birta ayaa aad hoos u dhacay bishii March. Qiimaha macdanta birta ayaa kor u kacay horraantii bishan. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, hoos u dhaca qiimaha leh ee bishii hore waxa laga yaabaa in aanuu taageeri karin qiimaha birta gudaha ee sarreeya.
Qiimaha dhuxusha ayaa sidoo kale hoos u dhacay bishii Maarso. Qiimaha dhuxusha ayaa u muuqda inuu mar kale kor u kacay bishan, inkastoo qiimaha hadda uu ka fog yahay Janaayo 2018 ee sarreeya ee $ 110 / t.
Iyada oo ficilka qiimaha birta ay muujinayaan kor u kaca kor u kaca bishan, kooxaha wax gadashada ayaa laga yaabaa inay rabaan inay fahmaan ficilka qiimaha si ay u go'aansadaan marka ay go'aansadaan iibsiyada dhexe ilaa muddada dheer. Hay'adaha wax iibsiga ee doonaya caddayn dheeraad ah oo ku saabsan goorta la iibsanayo iyo inta alaabta birta ah ee la iibsanayo ayaa laga yaabaa inay rabaan inay isku dayaan biraha iibsashada ra'yiga bilaashka ah maanta.
US Midwest HRC 3-bilood ee mustaqbalka ayaa hoos u dhacay 3.65% bishan ilaa $817/t
Aluminium MMI (tusaale biraha bilaha bilaha ah) ayaa hoos u dhacay 3 dhibcood bishii Abriil. Qiimaha aluminium ee daciifka ah ee LME wuxuu horseeday dib u dhac ku yimaada qiimaha.
Qiimaha aluminium ee LME ayaa mar kale hoos u dhacay bishan. Qiimaha aluminiumka LME ayaa weli ku jira hoos u dhac laba bilood ah.
Inkasta oo qaar laga yaabo inay rabaan inay ku dhawaaqaan suuqa aluminium aluminium ah, qiimaha ayaa weli ka sarreeya $ 1,975 markii MetalMiner ay kula talisay iibsashada ururada inay iibsadaan horay.
Qiimaha aluminium ee Spot ee Suuqa Mustaqbalka ee Shanghai ayaa sidoo kale hoos u dhacay bishan. Hoos u dhacu wuxuu u muuqdaa inuu ka yara yaraa qiimaha LME. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, qiimaha aluminiumka ee booska Shanghai Futures Exchange wuxuu bilaabay inuu hoos u dhaco Oktoobar 2017.
Alaabta Aluminiumka ah ee Suuqa Mustaqbalka ee Shanghai (SHFE) ayaa hoos u dhacay bishii Maarso markii ugu horeysay in ka badan sagaal bilood. Sawirada alaabada ayaa mararka qaarkood calaamadeeyay hoos u dhaca alaabooyinka aluminium ee Shiinaha, soo saaraha ugu weyn ee adduunka iyo macaamiisha aluminium. Inventories on the Shanghai Futures Exchange ayaa hoos u dhacay 154 tan bishii March, sida laga soo xigtay xogta sarrifka ee la sii daayay horraantii Abriil 970,233 tan.
Dhanka kale, khidmadaha aluminiumka ee US Midwest ayaa hoos u dhacay markii ugu horeysay tan iyo Noofambar 2017. Hoos u dhaca $ 0.01 ee rodol horraantii Abriil ayaa timid ka dib markii ay kor u kacday khidmadaha. Inkasta oo khidmadaha ay hoos u dhacaan bishan, xawaaraha kor u kaca ayaa laga yaabaa inuu sii socdo muddo.
Dib-u-soo-celinta qiimaha aluminium ee LME waxay soo bandhigi kartaa fursad wax iibsiga wanaagsan ee kooxaha gadashada maaddaama qiimuhu ay u badan tahay inay mar kale kor u kacaan.
Si kastaba ha ahaatee, qiimaha hadda hooseeyo, kooxaha wax iibsada ayaa laga yaabaa inay rabaan inay sugaan ilaa suuqa uu muujiyo jihada cad. Sidaa darteed, hagaajinta istaraatiijiyada iibsashada "saxda ah" ayaa muhiim u ah dhimista khatarta.
Marka la eego hubanti la'aanta joogtada ah ee ku saabsan aluminium iyo aluminium, ururrada wax iibsada ayaa laga yaabaa inay hadda rabaan inay tijaabiyaan biraha biraha ee bilaha ah ee wax iibsiga.
Qiimaha aluminium ee LME wuxuu hoos u dhacay 5.8% bishan si uu u dhammaado Maarso $ 2,014 / t. Dhanka kale, ganacsiga Koonfurta Kuuriya ee 1050 xaashida ayaa kor u kacay 1.97%.
Qiimaha billet Shiineesku waxa uu ahaa mid siman bishan $2,259/t. Qiimaha kaalinta koowaad ee Hindiya ayaa hoos u dhacay 6.51% ilaa $2.01/kg.
Bishii hore, ciwaanka maqaalkeena cusbooneysiinta billaha ah ee MMI-ga qaaliga ah ee adduunka, waxaan ku xusnay xaqiiqda ah in qiimaha platinum iyo palladium ay hoos u dhaceen. Markaa waxaan waydiinay, "Miyay sii socon doontaa?"
Markay qiimaha platinum-ka iyo palladium-ka Maraykanku hoos u dhaceen, Tusahayada bilaha qaaliga ah ee caalamiga ah (MMI), kaas oo la socda dambiisha caalamiga ah ee biraha qaaliga ah, ayaa mar kale hoos u dhacay bishii Abriil – hoos 1.1% oo galay laba bilood oo hoos u dhac ah.
(Bishii hore, waxaan markii hore soo sheegnay in tusmuhu uu ku jiray kor u kac laba bilood ah ka hor inta uusan dhicin March. Sixitaan: Dhab ahaantii waxay ahayd kor u kac afar bilood ah wakhtigaas.)
Labada suuq ee suuqyada iyo suuqyada badeecadaha ayaa dhowaan arkay xoogaa jahwareer ah, iyada oo madaxweyne Trump uu ku soo rogay canshuuraha birta, aluminiumka iyo suurtogalnimada 1,300 oo dheeraad ah oo Shiinaha laga keeno bartamihii bishii hore, iyo Shiinaha oo ka aargoosanaya canshuuraha alaabta qaarkood.
Ma aha wax buunbuunin ah in la yiraahdo falcelin silsilad ah ayaa ka socota suuqa birta qaaliga ah.